Brommapojkarna vs Hammarby: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Brommapojkarnavs
HammarbyThe model puts Hammarby at 67%. The model leans toward Hammarby. Confidence: high.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- +Recent form favours Hammarby.
- +The head-to-head record favours Hammarby (1-1-4).
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Brommapojkarna have 0 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Hammarby have 4 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Brommapojkarna have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings.
- Hammarby is priced at 1.44.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 8 | 15 | 14 | 9 | 4 | 2 |
| 1 | 5 | 10 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 1 |
| 2 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 2 | ||
| 3 | ||||||
| 4 | ||||||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Brommapojkarna at 14%. The model puts the draw at 19%. The model puts Hammarby at 67%. The model's most likely scoreline is 0-1.
The market leans toward Hammarby. Brommapojkarna is priced at 6.34. The draw is priced at 4.65. Hammarby is priced at 1.44.
Brommapojkarna have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings. Hammarby have won 4 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 1 of their head-to-head meetings.
Brommapojkarna have 0 wins in their last 5 matches. Hammarby have 4 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 41% for both teams to score. The model gives 46% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Brommapojkarna or Hammarby?
Our model rates Hammarby as the most likely outcome at 67% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Brommapojkarna vs Hammarby?
A scoreline around 0-1 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 6 meetings: 1 Brommapojkarna wins, 1 draws, 4 Hammarby wins.
League table
Sweden. Allsvenskan| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Sirius | 13 | 11 | 0 | 2 | 36:16 | 35 |
| 2 | Hammarby | 14 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 32:14 | 26 |
| 3 |  Hacken | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 27:22 | 23 |
| 4 |  AIK | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 18:18 | 21 |
| 5 |  Djurgardens | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 26:15 | 20 |
| 6 |  Malmo | 13 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 27:22 | 20 |
| 7 |  GAIS | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 18:14 | 19 |
| 8 |  Vasteras SK | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 22:23 | 19 |
| 9 |  Elfsborg | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 18:17 | 18 |
| 10 |  Mjallby | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 19:17 | 17 |
| 11 | Brommapojkarna | 13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 18:21 | 16 |
| 12 |  Kalmar | 13 | 4 | 7 | 2 | 16:19 | 14 |
| 13 |  Goteborg | 13 | 3 | 6 | 4 | 16:29 | 13 |
| 14 |  Degerfors | 13 | 2 | 7 | 4 | 12:23 | 10 |
| 15 |  Orgryte | 13 | 2 | 7 | 4 | 14:31 | 10 |
| 16 |  Halmstads | 13 | 1 | 9 | 3 | 10:28 | 6 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.