Wuhan Three Towns vs Shandong Taishan: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Wuhan Three Townsvs
Shandong TaishanThe model puts Shandong Taishan at 61%. The model leans toward Shandong Taishan. Confidence: medium.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- −The head-to-head record favours Wuhan Three Towns (4-2-0).
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Wuhan Three Towns have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Shandong Taishan have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Wuhan Three Towns have won 4 of the head-to-head meetings.
- Shandong Taishan is priced at 1.47.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 8 | 14 | 12 | 7 | 3 | 1 |
| 1 | 6 | 11 | 10 | 6 | 2 | |
| 2 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 2 | ||
| 3 | 1 | |||||
| 4 | ||||||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Wuhan Three Towns at 19%. The model puts the draw at 20%. The model puts Shandong Taishan at 61%. The model's most likely scoreline is 0-1.
The market leans toward Shandong Taishan. Wuhan Three Towns is priced at 5.78. The draw is priced at 4.55. Shandong Taishan is priced at 1.47.
Wuhan Three Towns have won 4 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 2 of their head-to-head meetings.
Wuhan Three Towns have 2 wins in their last 5 matches. Shandong Taishan have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 45% for both teams to score. The model gives 47% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Wuhan Three Towns or Shandong Taishan?
Our model rates Shandong Taishan as the most likely outcome at 61% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Wuhan Three Towns vs Shandong Taishan?
A scoreline around 0-1 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 6 meetings: 4 Wuhan Three Towns wins, 2 draws, 0 Shandong Taishan wins.
Odds movement
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.