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China. FA Cup

Henan vs Dalian Yingbo: Prediction, Odds & Analysis

Henan HenanvsDalian Yingbo Dalian Yingbo
Our predictionHenan to win
Model score: Medium · 58/100
Score hint: 1-0

The model puts Henan at 47%. The model leans toward Henan. Confidence: medium.

Why this prediction

+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.

Win probabilities

1 · HenanDraw2 · Dalian Yingbo
Full team comparison

Model vs market

Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.

BTTSNo2.11+5.7%
1X2Henan2.04+1.1%
1X2Dalian Yingbo3.53-0.5%
1X2Draw3.34-0.6%
BTTSYes1.65-5.7%
Our model BookmakerPositive edge = model disagreement, not a value bet. Not betting advice.
Team strength rating
Henan
56
Dalian Yingbo
40

Most likely scorelines

1-011.9%
1-111.7%
2-09.8%
2-19.6%
0-07.2%
0-17.1%

Recent form

HenanLLWWL
Dalian YingboLLWWW

Expected goals

1.65Henan
xG
0.98Dalian Yingbo
Over 2.5 goals49%
Both teams to score50%

Match DNA

AttackDefenseFormStrengthH2HVenue
Henan Dalian Yingbo

Key points

Betting angles

MarketPickOddsAssessment
1X2Henan win2.04Fair (+1.1%)

Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.

Scoreline probability matrix

H \ A012345
07731
1121262
2101052
3553
4221
5

Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.

Full analysis

The model puts Henan at 47%. The model puts the draw at 27%. The model puts Dalian Yingbo at 26%. The model's most likely scoreline is 1-0.

The market leans toward Henan. Henan is priced at 2.04. The draw is priced at 3.34. Dalian Yingbo is priced at 3.53.

Henan have won 2 of the head-to-head meetings. Dalian Yingbo have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings.

Henan have 2 wins in their last 5 matches. Dalian Yingbo have 3 wins in their last 5 matches.

The model gives 50% for both teams to score. The model gives 49% for over 2.5 goals.

This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.

Prediction Track RecordMethodology →Model card →

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite, Henan or Dalian Yingbo?

Our model rates Henan as the most likely outcome at 47% probability.

What's a likely scoreline for Henan vs Dalian Yingbo?

A scoreline around 1-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.

What's the head-to-head record?

In the last 3 meetings: 2 Henan wins, 0 draws, 1 Dalian Yingbo wins.

See odds at bookmakers

Odds movement

3.713.262.822.381.94
Home 2.04 Draw 3.34 Away 3.53

Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.