Shanghai Shenhua vs Qingdao Hainiu: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Shanghai Shenhuavs
Qingdao HainiuThe model puts Shanghai Shenhua at 83%. The model leans toward Shanghai Shenhua. Confidence: high.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- +Recent form favours Shanghai Shenhua.
- +The head-to-head record favours Shanghai Shenhua (6-0-0).
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Shanghai Shenhua have 3 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Qingdao Hainiu have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Shanghai Shenhua have won 6 of the head-to-head meetings.
- Shanghai Shenhua is priced at 1.134.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 2 | ||||
| 1 | 16 | 4 | ||||
| 2 | 20 | 5 | ||||
| 3 | 16 | 4 | ||||
| 4 | 10 | 3 | ||||
| 5 | 5 | 1 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Shanghai Shenhua at 83%. The model puts the draw at 12%. The model puts Qingdao Hainiu at 5%. The model's most likely scoreline is 2-0.
The market leans toward Shanghai Shenhua. Shanghai Shenhua is priced at 1.134. The draw is priced at 7.2. Qingdao Hainiu is priced at 17.5.
Shanghai Shenhua have won 6 of the head-to-head meetings.
Shanghai Shenhua have 3 wins in their last 5 matches. Qingdao Hainiu have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 22% for both teams to score. The model gives 51% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Shanghai Shenhua or Qingdao Hainiu?
Our model rates Shanghai Shenhua as the most likely outcome at 83% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Shanghai Shenhua vs Qingdao Hainiu?
A scoreline around 2-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 6 meetings: 6 Shanghai Shenhua wins, 0 draws, 0 Qingdao Hainiu wins.
Odds movement
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.