Yunnan Yukun vs Chengdu Rongcheng: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Yunnan Yukunvs
Chengdu RongchengThe model puts Chengdu Rongcheng at 49%. The model leans toward Chengdu Rongcheng. Confidence: low.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- −Recent form favours Yunnan Yukun.
- −The head-to-head record favours Yunnan Yukun (2-1-0).
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Most likely scorelines
Recent form
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Yunnan Yukun have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Chengdu Rongcheng have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Yunnan Yukun have won 2 of the head-to-head meetings.
- Chengdu Rongcheng is priced at 1.8.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 8 | 11 | 8 | 4 | 2 | |
| 1 | 8 | 12 | 9 | 5 | 2 | |
| 2 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 2 | ||
| 3 | 2 | 2 | 2 | |||
| 4 | ||||||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Yunnan Yukun at 29%. The model puts the draw at 23%. The model puts Chengdu Rongcheng at 49%. The model's most likely scoreline is 0-1.
The market leans toward Chengdu Rongcheng. Yunnan Yukun is priced at 3.83. The draw is priced at 3.9. Chengdu Rongcheng is priced at 1.8.
Yunnan Yukun have won 2 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 1 of their head-to-head meetings.
Yunnan Yukun have 2 wins in their last 5 matches. Chengdu Rongcheng have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 51% for both teams to score. The model gives 47% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Yunnan Yukun or Chengdu Rongcheng?
Our model rates Chengdu Rongcheng as the most likely outcome at 49% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Yunnan Yukun vs Chengdu Rongcheng?
A scoreline around 0-1 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 3 meetings: 2 Yunnan Yukun wins, 1 draws, 0 Chengdu Rongcheng wins.
Odds movement
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.