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Russia. Premier League

Akron Tolyatti vs Rubin Kazan: Prediction, Odds & Analysis

Akron Tolyatti Akron TolyattivsRubin Kazan Rubin Kazan
Our predictionRubin Kazan to win
Model score: Low · 5/100
Score hint: 0-1

The model puts Rubin Kazan at 38%. The model sees this as a close contest. Confidence: low.

Why this prediction

+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.

Win probabilities

1 · Akron TolyattiDraw2 · Rubin Kazan
Full team comparison

Model vs market

Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.

1X2Akron Tolyatti2.96+2.4%
BTTSYes1.79+0.8%
BTTSNo1.94-0.8%
1X2Draw3.32-1.0%
1X2Rubin Kazan2.42-1.4%
Our model BookmakerPositive edge = model disagreement, not a value bet. Not betting advice.

Recent form

Akron TolyattiLWLDW
Rubin KazanLWDLW

Most likely scorelines

1-112.6%
1-09.8%
0-19.5%
2-18.3%
1-28.0%
0-07.5%
Team strength rating
Akron Tolyatti
51
Rubin Kazan
43

Expected goals

1.32Akron Tolyatti
xG
1.28Rubin Kazan
Over 2.5 goals48%
Both teams to score53%

Match DNA

AttackDefenseFormStrengthH2HVenue
Akron Tolyatti Rubin Kazan

Key points

Betting angles

MarketPickOddsAssessment
1X2Rubin Kazan win2.42Fair (-1.4%)
Double chanceRubin Kazan or drawInfo

Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.

Scoreline probability matrix

H \ A012345
071063
11013831
26852
3342
41
5

Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.

Full analysis

The model puts Akron Tolyatti at 34%. The model puts the draw at 28%. The model puts Rubin Kazan at 38%. The model's most likely scoreline is 0-1.

The market frames this as a close contest. Akron Tolyatti is priced at 2.965. The draw is priced at 3.32. Rubin Kazan is priced at 2.416.

Akron Tolyatti have won 4 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 2 of their head-to-head meetings.

Akron Tolyatti have 2 wins in their last 5 matches. Rubin Kazan have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.

The model gives 53% for both teams to score. The model gives 48% for over 2.5 goals.

This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.

Prediction Track RecordMethodology →Model card →

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite, Akron Tolyatti or Rubin Kazan?

Our model rates Rubin Kazan as the most likely outcome at 38% probability.

What's a likely scoreline for Akron Tolyatti vs Rubin Kazan?

A scoreline around 0-1 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.

What's the head-to-head record?

In the last 6 meetings: 4 Akron Tolyatti wins, 2 draws, 0 Rubin Kazan wins.

See odds at bookmakers

League table

Russia. Premier League
#TeamGPWLTGPts
1Baltika Kaliningrad00000:00
2Rostov00000:00
3Orenburg00000:00
4Zenit Saint Petersburg00000:00
5Spartak Moscow00000:00
6CSKA Moscow00000:00
7Lokomotiv Moscow00000:00
8Dynamo Moscow00000:00
9Rubin Kazan00000:00
10Krylia Sovetov00000:00
11Akhmat00000:00
12Krasnodar00000:00
13Fakel Voronezh00000:00
14Akron Tolyatti00000:00
15Rodina Moscow00000:00
16Dynamo Makhachkala00000:00
Premier League (Relegation. Play-offs) Relegation - FNL Cup

Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.