Dynamo Makhachkala vs Lokomotiv Moscow: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Dynamo Makhachkalavs
Lokomotiv MoscowThe model puts Lokomotiv Moscow at 42%. The model sees this as a close contest. Confidence: low.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- −The head-to-head record favours Dynamo Makhachkala (2-3-0).
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Dynamo Makhachkala have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Lokomotiv Moscow have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Dynamo Makhachkala have won 2 of the head-to-head meetings.
- Lokomotiv Moscow is priced at 2.18.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 8 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 1 | |
| 1 | 9 | 13 | 9 | 4 | 1 | |
| 2 | 5 | 8 | 5 | 2 | ||
| 3 | 2 | 3 | 2 | |||
| 4 | ||||||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Dynamo Makhachkala at 31%. The model puts the draw at 27%. The model puts Lokomotiv Moscow at 42%. The model's most likely scoreline is 0-1.
The market leans toward Lokomotiv Moscow. Dynamo Makhachkala is priced at 3.32. The draw is priced at 3.38. Lokomotiv Moscow is priced at 2.18.
Dynamo Makhachkala have won 2 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 3 of their head-to-head meetings.
Dynamo Makhachkala have 1 wins in their last 5 matches. Lokomotiv Moscow have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 52% for both teams to score. The model gives 48% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Dynamo Makhachkala or Lokomotiv Moscow?
Our model rates Lokomotiv Moscow as the most likely outcome at 42% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Dynamo Makhachkala vs Lokomotiv Moscow?
A scoreline around 0-1 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 5 meetings: 2 Dynamo Makhachkala wins, 3 draws, 0 Lokomotiv Moscow wins.
League table
Russia. Premier League| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Baltika Kaliningrad | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 2 |  Rostov | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 3 |  Orenburg | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 4 |  Zenit Saint Petersburg | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 5 |  Spartak Moscow | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 6 |  CSKA Moscow | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 7 | Lokomotiv Moscow | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 8 |  Dynamo Moscow | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 9 |  Rubin Kazan | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 10 |  Krylia Sovetov | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 11 |  Akhmat | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 12 |  Krasnodar | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 13 |  Fakel Voronezh | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 14 |  Akron Tolyatti | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 15 |  Rodina Moscow | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 16 | Dynamo Makhachkala | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.