Baltika Kaliningrad vs Dynamo Moscow: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Baltika Kaliningradvs
Dynamo MoscowThe model puts Dynamo Moscow at 38%. The model sees this as a close contest. Confidence: low.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- +The head-to-head record favours Dynamo Moscow (1-1-4).
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Baltika Kaliningrad have 4 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Dynamo Moscow have 5 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Baltika Kaliningrad have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings.
- Dynamo Moscow is priced at 2.616.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 9 | 6 | 2 | ||
| 1 | 10 | 13 | 8 | 3 | 1 | |
| 2 | 7 | 8 | 5 | 2 | ||
| 3 | 3 | 4 | 2 | |||
| 4 | 1 | 1 | ||||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Baltika Kaliningrad at 36%. The model puts the draw at 26%. The model puts Dynamo Moscow at 38%. The model's most likely scoreline is 0-1.
The market frames this as a close contest. Baltika Kaliningrad is priced at 2.616. The draw is priced at 3.46. Dynamo Moscow is priced at 2.616.
Baltika Kaliningrad have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings. Dynamo Moscow have won 4 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 1 of their head-to-head meetings.
Baltika Kaliningrad have 4 wins in their last 5 matches. Baltika Kaliningrad are on 4 wins in a row. Dynamo Moscow have 5 wins in their last 5 matches. Dynamo Moscow are on 5 wins in a row.
The model gives 53% for both teams to score. The model gives 48% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Baltika Kaliningrad or Dynamo Moscow?
Our model rates Dynamo Moscow as the most likely outcome at 38% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Baltika Kaliningrad vs Dynamo Moscow?
A scoreline around 0-1 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 6 meetings: 1 Baltika Kaliningrad wins, 1 draws, 4 Dynamo Moscow wins.
League table
Russia. Premier League| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Baltika Kaliningrad | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 2 |  Rostov | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 3 |  Orenburg | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 4 |  Zenit Saint Petersburg | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 5 |  Spartak Moscow | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 6 |  CSKA Moscow | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 7 |  Lokomotiv Moscow | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 8 | Dynamo Moscow | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 9 |  Rubin Kazan | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 10 |  Krylia Sovetov | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 11 |  Akhmat | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 12 |  Krasnodar | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 13 |  Fakel Voronezh | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 14 |  Akron Tolyatti | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 15 |  Rodina Moscow | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 16 |  Dynamo Makhachkala | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.