Orenburg vs Zenit Saint Petersburg: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Orenburgvs
Zenit Saint PetersburgThe model puts Zenit Saint Petersburg at 73%. The model leans toward Zenit Saint Petersburg. Confidence: high.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- +Recent form favours Zenit Saint Petersburg.
- +The head-to-head record favours Zenit Saint Petersburg (1-0-5).
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Orenburg have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Zenit Saint Petersburg have 3 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Orenburg have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings.
- Zenit Saint Petersburg is priced at 1.325.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 8 | 16 | 16 | 11 | 5 | 2 |
| 1 | 4 | 8 | 8 | 6 | 3 | 1 |
| 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | ||
| 3 | ||||||
| 4 | ||||||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Orenburg at 11%. The model puts the draw at 17%. The model puts Zenit Saint Petersburg at 73%. The model's most likely scoreline is 0-1.
The market leans toward Zenit Saint Petersburg. Orenburg is priced at 8.9. The draw is priced at 5.35. Zenit Saint Petersburg is priced at 1.325.
Orenburg have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings. Zenit Saint Petersburg have won 5 of the head-to-head meetings.
Orenburg have 2 wins in their last 5 matches. Zenit Saint Petersburg have 3 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 35% for both teams to score. The model gives 46% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Orenburg or Zenit Saint Petersburg?
Our model rates Zenit Saint Petersburg as the most likely outcome at 73% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Orenburg vs Zenit Saint Petersburg?
A scoreline around 0-1 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 6 meetings: 1 Orenburg wins, 0 draws, 5 Zenit Saint Petersburg wins.
League table
Russia. Premier League| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Baltika Kaliningrad | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 2 |  Rostov | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 3 | Orenburg | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 4 | Zenit Saint Petersburg | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 5 |  Spartak Moscow | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 6 |  CSKA Moscow | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 7 |  Lokomotiv Moscow | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 8 |  Dynamo Moscow | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 9 |  Rubin Kazan | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 10 |  Krylia Sovetov | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 11 |  Akhmat | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 12 |  Krasnodar | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 13 |  Fakel Voronezh | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 14 |  Akron Tolyatti | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 15 |  Rodina Moscow | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 16 |  Dynamo Makhachkala | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.