Stranraer vs Edinburgh FC: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Stranraervs
Edinburgh FCThe model puts Stranraer at 60%. Stranraer is priced at 1.51. Confidence: high.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- −The head-to-head history is finely balanced.
Win probabilities
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Stranraer have won 3 of the head-to-head meetings.
- Stranraer have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Edinburgh FC have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
- The model's most likely scoreline is 1-0.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 5 | 2 | |||
| 1 | 14 | 10 | 3 | |||
| 2 | 13 | 9 | 3 | |||
| 3 | 9 | 6 | 2 | |||
| 4 | 4 | 3 | 1 | |||
| 5 | 2 | 1 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Full analysis
The model puts Stranraer at 60%. The model puts the draw at 24%. The model puts Edinburgh FC at 16%.
Stranraer have won 3 of the head-to-head meetings. Edinburgh FC have won 2 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 1 of their head-to-head meetings.
Stranraer have 1 wins in their last 5 matches. Edinburgh FC have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
Stranraer is priced at 1.51. Edinburgh FC is priced at 5.49. The market leans toward Stranraer.
The model's most likely scoreline is 1-0. The model gives 50% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Stranraer or Edinburgh FC?
Our model rates Stranraer as the most likely outcome at 60% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Stranraer vs Edinburgh FC?
A scoreline around 1-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 6 meetings: 3 Stranraer wins, 1 draws, 2 Edinburgh FC wins.
Odds movement
League table
Scotland. League Cup| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Queen's Park | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6:3 | 6 |
| 2 |  Aberdeen | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4:1 | 6 |
| 3 |  Queen of the South | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4:1 | 4 |
| 4 |  Kelty Hearts | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1:3 | 2 |
| 5 |  Brora Rangers | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1:8 | 0 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.