Ross County vs Dundee: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Ross Countyvs
DundeeThe model puts Dundee at 43%. The model's most likely scoreline is 0-1. Confidence: low.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- −Recent form favours Ross County.
- −The head-to-head history is finely balanced.
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Dundee have 3 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Dundee have won 3 of the head-to-head meetings.
- Dundee is priced at 2.02.
- The market leans toward Dundee.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 8 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 1 | |
| 1 | 9 | 13 | 9 | 4 | 1 | |
| 2 | 6 | 8 | 5 | 2 | ||
| 3 | 2 | 3 | 2 | |||
| 4 | ||||||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Dundee at 43%. The model puts Ross County at 32%. The model puts the draw at 25%.
Dundee have 3 wins in their last 5 matches. Ross County have 3 wins in their last 5 matches. Ross County are on 2 wins in a row.
Dundee have won 3 of the head-to-head meetings. Ross County have won 2 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 1 of their head-to-head meetings.
Dundee is priced at 2.02. Ross County is priced at 3.115. The draw is priced at 3.52.
The model's most likely scoreline is 0-1. The model gives 53% for both teams to score.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Ross County or Dundee?
Our model rates Dundee as the most likely outcome at 43% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Ross County vs Dundee?
A scoreline around 0-1 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 6 meetings: 2 Ross County wins, 1 draws, 3 Dundee wins.
Odds movement
League table
Scotland. League Cup| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Queen's Park | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6:3 | 6 |
| 2 |  Aberdeen | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4:1 | 6 |
| 3 |  Queen of the South | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4:1 | 4 |
| 4 |  Kelty Hearts | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1:3 | 2 |
| 5 |  Brora Rangers | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1:8 | 0 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.