Queen of the South vs Aberdeen: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Queen of the Southvs
AberdeenThe model puts Aberdeen at 72%. The model leans toward Aberdeen. Confidence: high.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- +Recent form favours Aberdeen.
- +The head-to-head record favours Aberdeen (1-1-4).
Win probabilities
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Queen of the South have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Aberdeen have 3 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Queen of the South have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings.
- Aberdeen is priced at 1.33.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 8 | 16 | 15 | 10 | 5 | 2 |
| 1 | 5 | 9 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 1 |
| 2 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 2 | ||
| 3 | ||||||
| 4 | ||||||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Full analysis
The model puts Queen of the South at 14%. The model puts the draw at 15%. The model puts Aberdeen at 72%. The model's most likely scoreline is 0-1.
The market leans toward Aberdeen. Queen of the South is priced at 6.71. The draw is priced at 5.93. Aberdeen is priced at 1.33.
Queen of the South have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings. Aberdeen have won 4 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 1 of their head-to-head meetings.
Queen of the South have 1 wins in their last 5 matches. Aberdeen have 3 wins in their last 5 matches. Aberdeen are on 3 wins in a row.
The model gives 38% for both teams to score. The model gives 46% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Queen of the South or Aberdeen?
Our model rates Aberdeen as the most likely outcome at 72% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Queen of the South vs Aberdeen?
A scoreline around 0-1 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 6 meetings: 1 Queen of the South wins, 1 draws, 4 Aberdeen wins.
Odds movement
Match statistics
Queen of the South
- 2Goldie
- 3Charters
- 4Stott Jam.
- 5McQueen
- 6Hannah J.
- 7Smith
- 8Rogerson
- 9Johnstone
- 10Clark Ni.
- 11MacKenzie
- 40Trialist A.
Aberdeen
- 7Yogane
- 8Lyons B.
- 10Briedl
- 11Smith
- 15Nisbet K.
- 21Molloy G.
- 23Maio
- 25Ronan C.
- 26Happe
- 27Muller M.
- 32Afeez A.
Match story
How the game unfoldedQueen of the South make it count (Clark Ni. (14')). It's 1–0 at this point.
No goals but plenty of bite: 1 card(s) in this spell. Score holds at 1–0.
Half-time score: Queen of the South 1 – 0 Aberdeen.
The game settles after the break without a breakthrough. (1–0)
A tense finish, but the scoreline stays put. (1–0)
League table
Scotland. League Cup| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Queen's Park | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6:3 | 6 |
| 2 | Aberdeen | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4:1 | 6 |
| 3 |  Kelty Hearts | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4:5 | 5 |
| 4 | Queen of the South | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4:1 | 4 |
| 5 |  Brora Rangers | 4 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 3:11 | 0 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.