Scotland. League Cup

Livingston vs Forfar Athletic: Prediction, Odds & Analysis

← Match page: score & lineups

Livingstonvs

Forfar Athletic

Our predictionLivingston to win

Model score: High · 92/100

Score hint: 2-0

The model puts Livingston at 86%. The model puts Forfar Athletic at 6%. Confidence: high.

Why this prediction

+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.

−The head-to-head record favours Forfar Athletic (1-1-4).

Win probabilities

1 · Livingston86%Draw7%2 · Forfar Athletic6%

1 · LivingstonDraw2 · Forfar Athletic

Full team comparison →

Model vs market

Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.

1X2Forfar Athletic24.00+2.5%

1X2Draw11.70-0.3%

1X2Livingston1.02-2.3%

Our model BookmakerPositive edge = model disagreement, not a value bet. Not betting advice.

Recent form

LivingstonWLWDW

Forfar AthleticWWLWL

Team strength rating

Livingston

Forfar Athletic

Most likely scorelines

2-020.2%

3-016.6%

1-016.4%

4-010.2%

0-06.7%

5-05.0%

Expected goals

2.46Livingston

0.25Forfar Athletic

Over 2.5 goals51%

Both teams to score20%

Match DNA

Livingston Forfar Athletic

Key points

Livingston have 3 wins in their last 5 matches.
Forfar Athletic are on 2 wins in a row.
Forfar Athletic have won 4 of the head-to-head meetings.
The model's most likely scoreline is 2-0.
The model gives 51% for over 2.5 goals.

Betting angles

MarketPickOddsAssessment

1X2Livingston win1.02Fair (-2.3%)

Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.

Scoreline probability matrix

H \ A	0	1
0	7	2
1	16	4
2	20	5
3	17	4
4	10	3
5	5	1

Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.

Full analysis

Livingston have 3 wins in their last 5 matches. Forfar Athletic have 3 wins in their last 5 matches.

Forfar Athletic have won 4 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 1 of their head-to-head meetings. Livingston have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings.

Forfar Athletic are on 2 wins in a row.

The model's most likely scoreline is 2-0. The model gives 20% for both teams to score. The model gives 51% for over 2.5 goals.

This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.

Prediction Track Record →Methodology →Model card →