Dunfermline Athletic vs Cove Rangers: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Dunfermline Athleticvs
Cove RangersThe model puts Dunfermline Athletic at 73%. The model's most likely scoreline is 2-0. Confidence: high.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- +Recent form favours Dunfermline Athletic.
- −The head-to-head history is finely balanced.
Win probabilities
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Dunfermline Athletic have 3 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Cove Rangers have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
- The model gives 50% for over 2.5 goals.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 3 | ||||
| 1 | 15 | 7 | 2 | |||
| 2 | 17 | 8 | 2 | |||
| 3 | 13 | 6 | 1 | |||
| 4 | 7 | 3 | ||||
| 5 | 3 | 1 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Full analysis
The model puts Dunfermline Athletic at 73%. The model puts the draw at 18%. The model puts Cove Rangers at 9%.
Dunfermline Athletic have 3 wins in their last 5 matches. Cove Rangers have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
Dunfermline Athletic have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings. Cove Rangers have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 2 of their head-to-head meetings.
Dunfermline Athletic is priced at 1.26. Cove Rangers is priced at 9.45. The market leans toward Dunfermline Athletic.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Dunfermline Athletic or Cove Rangers?
Our model rates Dunfermline Athletic as the most likely outcome at 73% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Dunfermline Athletic vs Cove Rangers?
A scoreline around 2-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 4 meetings: 1 Dunfermline Athletic wins, 2 draws, 1 Cove Rangers wins.
Odds movement
League table
Scotland. League Cup| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Queen's Park | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6:3 | 6 |
| 2 |  Aberdeen | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4:1 | 6 |
| 3 |  Queen of the South | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4:1 | 4 |
| 4 |  Kelty Hearts | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1:3 | 2 |
| 5 |  Brora Rangers | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1:8 | 0 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.