Union de Santa Fe vs Club Atletico Lanus: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Union de Santa Fevs
Club Atletico LanusThe model puts Union de Santa Fe at 41%. The model sees this as a close contest. Confidence: low.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- −The head-to-head history is finely balanced.
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Union de Santa Fe have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Club Atletico Lanus have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Union de Santa Fe have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings.
- Union de Santa Fe is priced at 2.344.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 8 | 4 | 2 | ||
| 1 | 11 | 12 | 7 | 2 | ||
| 2 | 9 | 9 | 5 | 2 | ||
| 3 | 4 | 5 | 3 | |||
| 4 | 2 | 2 | ||||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Union de Santa Fe at 41%. The model puts the draw at 31%. The model puts Club Atletico Lanus at 28%. The model's most likely scoreline is 1-0.
The market frames this as a close contest. Union de Santa Fe is priced at 2.344. The draw is priced at 3.075. Club Atletico Lanus is priced at 3.32.
Union de Santa Fe have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings. Club Atletico Lanus have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 4 of their head-to-head meetings.
Union de Santa Fe have 1 wins in their last 5 matches. Club Atletico Lanus have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 52% for both teams to score. The model gives 49% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Union de Santa Fe or Club Atletico Lanus?
Our model rates Union de Santa Fe as the most likely outcome at 41% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Union de Santa Fe vs Club Atletico Lanus?
A scoreline around 1-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 6 meetings: 1 Union de Santa Fe wins, 4 draws, 1 Club Atletico Lanus wins.
League table
Argentina. Primera Division| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Velez Sarsfield | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5:1 | 9 |
| 2 |  CA Independiente Avellaneda | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3:1 | 6 |
| 3 |  Club Atletico Gimnasia y Esgrima | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3:1 | 6 |
| 4 |  Instituto Atletico Central Cordoba | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3:2 | 6 |
| 5 |  Newell's Old Boys | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:3 | 4 |
| 6 |  Defensa y Justicia | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:5 | 4 |
| 7 |  Talleres de Cordoba | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5:4 | 3 |
| 8 |  Deportivo Riestra | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4:3 | 3 |
| 9 |  Estudiantes de La Plata | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3:2 | 3 |
| 10 | Club Atletico Lanus | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 3 |
| 11 |  San Lorenzo de Almagro | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1:2 | 3 |
| 12 |  Central Cordoba de Santiago | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1:3 | 3 |
| 13 | Union de Santa Fe | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2:4 | 1 |
| 14 |  Boca Juniors | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2:5 | 1 |
| 15 |  Platense | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3:8 | 1 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.