Bristol City vs Walsall: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Bristol Cityvs
WalsallThe model puts Bristol City at 71%. The model leans toward Bristol City. Confidence: high.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- +Recent form favours Bristol City.
- +The head-to-head record favours Bristol City (5-1-0).
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Bristol City have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Walsall have 0 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Bristol City have won 5 of the head-to-head meetings.
- Bristol City is priced at 1.35.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 3 | ||||
| 1 | 15 | 7 | 2 | |||
| 2 | 16 | 8 | 2 | |||
| 3 | 12 | 6 | 1 | |||
| 4 | 7 | 3 | ||||
| 5 | 3 | 1 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Bristol City at 71%. The model puts the draw at 17%. The model puts Walsall at 11%. The model's most likely scoreline is 2-0.
The market leans toward Bristol City. Bristol City is priced at 1.35. The draw is priced at 5. Walsall is priced at 7.85.
Bristol City have won 5 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 1 of their head-to-head meetings.
Bristol City have 1 wins in their last 5 matches. Walsall have 0 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 34% for both teams to score. The model gives 50% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Bristol City or Walsall?
Our model rates Bristol City as the most likely outcome at 71% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Bristol City vs Walsall?
A scoreline around 2-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 6 meetings: 5 Bristol City wins, 1 draws, 0 Walsall wins.
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.