Atletico San Luis vs Tijuana: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Atletico San Luisvs
TijuanaThe model puts Atletico San Luis at 42%. The model sees this as a close contest. Confidence: low.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- −Recent form favours Tijuana.
- +The head-to-head record favours Atletico San Luis (2-4-0).
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Atletico San Luis have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Tijuana have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Atletico San Luis have won 2 of the head-to-head meetings.
- Atletico San Luis is priced at 2.26.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 8 | 5 | 2 | ||
| 1 | 11 | 12 | 7 | 3 | ||
| 2 | 8 | 9 | 5 | 2 | ||
| 3 | 4 | 5 | 3 | |||
| 4 | 1 | 2 | ||||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Atletico San Luis at 42%. The model puts the draw at 26%. The model puts Tijuana at 33%. The model's most likely scoreline is 1-0.
The market frames this as a close contest. Atletico San Luis is priced at 2.26. The draw is priced at 3.4. Tijuana is priced at 2.975.
Atletico San Luis have won 2 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 4 of their head-to-head meetings.
Atletico San Luis have 1 wins in their last 5 matches. Tijuana have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 52% for both teams to score. The model gives 48% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Atletico San Luis or Tijuana?
Our model rates Atletico San Luis as the most likely outcome at 42% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Atletico San Luis vs Tijuana?
A scoreline around 1-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 6 meetings: 2 Atletico San Luis wins, 4 draws, 0 Tijuana wins.
League table
Mexico. Liga MX| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tijuana | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4:1 | 6 |
| 2 |  Cruz Azul | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5:3 | 6 |
| 3 |  Club America | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:1 | 4 |
| 4 |  Pachuca | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:0 | 3 |
| 5 |  Monterrey | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:2 | 3 |
| 6 |  Atlas Guadalajara | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:2 | 3 |
| 7 |  Deportivo Toluca | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3:2 | 3 |
| 8 |  Club Necaxa | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 3 |
| 9 |  Puebla | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2:2 | 3 |
| 10 |  Pumas UNAM | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2:4 | 3 |
| 11 |  Atlante | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2:3 | 1 |
| 12 |  Santos Laguna | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2:3 | 0 |
| 13 | Atletico San Luis | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2:3 | 0 |
| 14 |  Queretaro | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:1 | 0 |
| 15 |  Juarez | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:1 | 0 |
| 16 |  Leon | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2:4 | 0 |
| 17 |  Tigres de la UANL | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:3 | 0 |
| 18 |  Guadalajara | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:2 | 0 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.