Club America vs Santos Laguna: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Club Americavs
Santos LagunaThe model puts Club America at 66%. The model leans toward Club America. Confidence: high.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- +Recent form favours Club America.
- −The head-to-head record favours Santos Laguna (0-2-4).
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Club America have 4 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Santos Laguna have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Club America is priced at 1.41.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 4 | 1 | |||
| 1 | 14 | 9 | 3 | |||
| 2 | 15 | 9 | 3 | |||
| 3 | 10 | 6 | 2 | |||
| 4 | 5 | 3 | ||||
| 5 | 2 | 1 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Club America at 66%. The model puts the draw at 19%. The model puts Santos Laguna at 15%. The model's most likely scoreline is 2-0.
The market leans toward Club America. Club America is priced at 1.41. The draw is priced at 4.6. Santos Laguna is priced at 6.78.
Santos Laguna have won 4 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 2 of their head-to-head meetings.
Club America have 4 wins in their last 5 matches. Santos Laguna have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 40% for both teams to score. The model gives 50% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Club America or Santos Laguna?
Our model rates Club America as the most likely outcome at 66% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Club America vs Santos Laguna?
A scoreline around 2-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 6 meetings: 0 Club America wins, 2 draws, 4 Santos Laguna wins.
League table
Mexico. Liga MX| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Tijuana | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4:1 | 6 |
| 2 |  Cruz Azul | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5:3 | 6 |
| 3 |  Atlas Guadalajara | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4:2 | 6 |
| 4 |  Club Necaxa | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4:2 | 6 |
| 5 | Club America | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:1 | 4 |
| 6 |  Pachuca | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4:2 | 3 |
| 7 |  Deportivo Toluca | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3:2 | 3 |
| 8 |  Monterrey | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4:4 | 3 |
| 9 |  Puebla | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2:2 | 3 |
| 10 |  Queretaro | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2:2 | 3 |
| 11 |  Guadalajara | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1:2 | 3 |
| 12 |  Pumas UNAM | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2:4 | 3 |
| 13 |  Atletico San Luis | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4:5 | 1 |
| 14 |  Atlante | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2:3 | 1 |
| 15 |  Tigres de la UANL | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3:5 | 1 |
| 16 | Santos Laguna | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2:4 | 0 |
| 17 |  Leon | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2:4 | 0 |
| 18 |  Juarez | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0:2 | 0 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.