Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic vs Shaanxi Union: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Lanzhou Longyuan Athleticvs
Shaanxi UnionThe model puts Shaanxi Union at 56%. Shaanxi Union is priced at 1.71. Confidence: high.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- +Recent form favours Shaanxi Union.
Win probabilities
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic have 0 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Shaanxi Union have 0 wins in their last 5 matches.
- The model's most likely scoreline is 0-1.
- The market leans toward Shaanxi Union.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 8 | 13 | 11 | 6 | 3 | |
| 1 | 7 | 11 | 10 | 5 | 2 | |
| 2 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 2 | ||
| 3 | 1 | 1 | ||||
| 4 | ||||||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Full analysis
Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic have 0 wins in their last 5 matches. Shaanxi Union have 0 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model puts Shaanxi Union at 56%. The model puts the draw at 24%.
The model's most likely scoreline is 0-1. The model gives 47% for both teams to score.
Shaanxi Union is priced at 1.71. The market leans toward Shaanxi Union.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic or Shaanxi Union?
Our model rates Shaanxi Union as the most likely outcome at 56% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic vs Shaanxi Union?
A scoreline around 0-1 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 2 meetings: 2 Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic wins, 0 draws, 0 Shaanxi Union wins.
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.