St Albans Dinamo vs Hume City: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
St Albans Dinamovs
Hume CityThe model puts Hume City at 47%. The model leans toward Hume City. Confidence: low.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- −The head-to-head record favours St Albans Dinamo (4-0-2).
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- St Albans Dinamo have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Hume City have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
- St Albans Dinamo have won 4 of the head-to-head meetings.
- Hume City is priced at 1.87.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 8 | 11 | 8 | 4 | 1 | |
| 1 | 8 | 12 | 9 | 4 | 2 | |
| 2 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 2 | ||
| 3 | 2 | 3 | 2 | |||
| 4 | ||||||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts St Albans Dinamo at 28%. The model puts the draw at 24%. The model puts Hume City at 47%. The model's most likely scoreline is 0-1.
The market leans toward Hume City. St Albans Dinamo is priced at 3.465. The draw is priced at 3.6. Hume City is priced at 1.87.
St Albans Dinamo have won 4 of the head-to-head meetings. Hume City have won 2 of the head-to-head meetings.
St Albans Dinamo have 2 wins in their last 5 matches. Hume City have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 52% for both teams to score. The model gives 48% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, St Albans Dinamo or Hume City?
Our model rates Hume City as the most likely outcome at 47% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for St Albans Dinamo vs Hume City?
A scoreline around 0-1 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 6 meetings: 4 St Albans Dinamo wins, 0 draws, 2 Hume City wins.
League table
Australia. NPL Victorian| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Oakleigh Cannons | 21 | 14 | 2 | 5 | 44:18 | 47 |
| 2 | Hume City | 21 | 12 | 5 | 4 | 40:25 | 40 |
| 3 |  Avondale | 21 | 11 | 8 | 2 | 54:28 | 35 |
| 4 |  Preston Lions | 20 | 12 | 5 | 3 | 30:16 | 33 |
| 5 |  Heidelberg United | 21 | 9 | 6 | 6 | 33:26 | 33 |
| 6 |  South Melbourne | 21 | 10 | 9 | 2 | 31:32 | 32 |
| 7 |  Melbourne City II | 20 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 37:23 | 30 |
| 8 |  Caroline Springs George Cross | 21 | 7 | 5 | 9 | 28:28 | 30 |
| 9 | St Albans Dinamo | 21 | 6 | 9 | 6 | 24:37 | 24 |
| 10 |  Altona Magic | 21 | 6 | 10 | 5 | 24:36 | 23 |
| 11 |  Dandenong City | 21 | 7 | 9 | 5 | 27:29 | 22 |
| 12 |  Bentleigh Greens | 21 | 5 | 12 | 4 | 20:45 | 19 |
| 13 |  Dandenong Thunder | 21 | 4 | 14 | 3 | 23:46 | 15 |
| 14 |  Green Gully | 21 | 3 | 14 | 4 | 17:43 | 13 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.