Fraser Park vs Gladesville Ryde Magic: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Fraser Parkvs
Gladesville Ryde MagicThe model puts Fraser Park at 71%. The model leans toward Fraser Park. Confidence: high.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- +Recent form favours Fraser Park.
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Expected goals
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Match DNA
Key points
- Fraser Park have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Gladesville Ryde Magic have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Fraser Park is priced at 1.3.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 5 | 3 | ||||
| 1 | 12 | 7 | 2 | |||
| 2 | 15 | 8 | 2 | |||
| 3 | 12 | 7 | 2 | |||
| 4 | 7 | 4 | 1 | |||
| 5 | 4 | 2 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Fraser Park at 71%. The model puts the draw at 17%. The model puts Gladesville Ryde Magic at 12%. The model's most likely scoreline is 2-0.
The market leans toward Fraser Park. Fraser Park is priced at 1.3. The draw is priced at 5.15. Gladesville Ryde Magic is priced at 7.22.
Fraser Park have 2 wins in their last 5 matches. Fraser Park are on 2 wins in a row. Gladesville Ryde Magic have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 40% for both teams to score. The model gives 59% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Fraser Park or Gladesville Ryde Magic?
Our model rates Fraser Park as the most likely outcome at 71% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Fraser Park vs Gladesville Ryde Magic?
A scoreline around 2-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
Over or under 2.5 goals?
The indicators lean toward over 2.5 goals.
Odds movement
Detailed stats, lineups and the live match story will appear here once match data becomes available.
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.