Garuda Darwin vs Darwin Hearts: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Garuda Darwinvs
Darwin HeartsThe model puts Darwin Hearts at 87%. The model leans toward Darwin Hearts. Confidence: high.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- +Recent form favours Darwin Hearts.
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Expected goals
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Match DNA
Key points
- Garuda Darwin have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Darwin Hearts have 4 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Darwin Hearts is priced at 1.035.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 3 | 8 | 14 | 15 | 12 | 8 |
| 1 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 3 | |
| 2 | 1 | 1 | ||||
| 3 | ||||||
| 4 | ||||||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Garuda Darwin at 6%. The model puts the draw at 8%. The model puts Darwin Hearts at 87%. The model's most likely scoreline is 0-3.
The market leans toward Darwin Hearts. Garuda Darwin is priced at 17.5. The draw is priced at 11. Darwin Hearts is priced at 1.035.
Garuda Darwin have 1 wins in their last 5 matches. Darwin Hearts have 4 wins in their last 5 matches. Darwin Hearts are on 4 wins in a row.
The model gives 31% for both teams to score. The model gives 71% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Garuda Darwin or Darwin Hearts?
Our model rates Darwin Hearts as the most likely outcome at 87% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Garuda Darwin vs Darwin Hearts?
A scoreline around 0-3 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
Over or under 2.5 goals?
The indicators lean toward over 2.5 goals.
Detailed stats, lineups and the live match story will appear here once match data becomes available.
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.