Adelaide Olympic vs South Adelaide Panthers: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Adelaide Olympicvs
South Adelaide PanthersThe model puts Adelaide Olympic at 69%. The model leans toward Adelaide Olympic. Confidence: high.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- −The head-to-head record favours South Adelaide Panthers (1-1-4).
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Adelaide Olympic have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
- South Adelaide Panthers have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Adelaide Olympic have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings.
- Adelaide Olympic is priced at 1.29.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 4 | 1 | |||
| 1 | 15 | 8 | 2 | |||
| 2 | 15 | 9 | 2 | |||
| 3 | 11 | 6 | 2 | |||
| 4 | 6 | 3 | ||||
| 5 | 2 | 1 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Adelaide Olympic at 69%. The model puts the draw at 16%. The model puts South Adelaide Panthers at 15%. The model's most likely scoreline is 2-0.
The market leans toward Adelaide Olympic. Adelaide Olympic is priced at 1.29. The draw is priced at 5.4. South Adelaide Panthers is priced at 7.06.
Adelaide Olympic have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings. South Adelaide Panthers have won 4 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 1 of their head-to-head meetings.
Adelaide Olympic have 1 wins in their last 5 matches. South Adelaide Panthers have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 38% for both teams to score. The model gives 50% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Adelaide Olympic or South Adelaide Panthers?
Our model rates Adelaide Olympic as the most likely outcome at 69% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Adelaide Olympic vs South Adelaide Panthers?
A scoreline around 2-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 6 meetings: 1 Adelaide Olympic wins, 1 draws, 4 South Adelaide Panthers wins.
League table
Australia. South Australia. State League| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Adelaide Raiders | 18 | 12 | 5 | 1 | 49:23 | 37 |
| 2 | Adelaide Olympic | 18 | 11 | 6 | 1 | 33:23 | 34 |
| 3 |  Fulham United | 18 | 10 | 5 | 3 | 38:27 | 33 |
| 4 |  Modbury Jets | 18 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 34:18 | 32 |
| 5 |  Adelaide Blue Eagles | 18 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 31:25 | 31 |
| 6 |  Adelaide Atletico | 18 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 33:25 | 30 |
| 7 |  Cumberland United | 18 | 9 | 8 | 1 | 32:24 | 28 |
| 8 |  The Cove | 18 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 26:26 | 26 |
| 9 |  Adelaide Cobras | 18 | 5 | 11 | 2 | 21:37 | 17 |
| 10 |  Eastern United | 18 | 4 | 10 | 4 | 18:36 | 16 |
| 11 | South Adelaide Panthers | 18 | 3 | 12 | 3 | 19:49 | 12 |
| 12 |  Salisbury United | 18 | 3 | 13 | 2 | 21:42 | 11 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.