Nunawading City vs Malvern City: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Nunawading Cityvs
Malvern CityThe model puts Malvern City at 58%. The model leans toward Malvern City. Confidence: high.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- +Recent form favours Nunawading City.
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Nunawading City have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Malvern City have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Nunawading City have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings.
- Malvern City is priced at 1.59.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 8 | 13 | 11 | 6 | 3 | |
| 1 | 7 | 11 | 10 | 5 | 2 | |
| 2 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 2 | ||
| 3 | 1 | 1 | ||||
| 4 | ||||||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Nunawading City at 20%. The model puts the draw at 21%. The model puts Malvern City at 58%. The model's most likely scoreline is 0-1.
The market leans toward Malvern City. Nunawading City is priced at 4.46. The draw is priced at 4.05. Malvern City is priced at 1.59.
Nunawading City have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings.
Nunawading City have 2 wins in their last 5 matches. Malvern City have 2 wins in their last 5 matches. Malvern City are on 2 wins in a row.
The model gives 47% for both teams to score. The model gives 47% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Nunawading City or Malvern City?
Our model rates Malvern City as the most likely outcome at 58% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Nunawading City vs Malvern City?
A scoreline around 0-1 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 1 meetings: 1 Nunawading City wins, 0 draws, 0 Malvern City wins.
Odds movement
League table
Australia. Victoria Premier League 2| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Goulburn Valley Suns | 20 | 14 | 3 | 3 | 46:27 | 45 |
| 2 | Malvern City | 20 | 14 | 5 | 1 | 47:23 | 43 |
| 3 |  Essendon Royals | 21 | 12 | 7 | 2 | 50:31 | 38 |
| 4 |  Bayside Argonauts | 20 | 10 | 5 | 5 | 39:29 | 35 |
| 5 |  Keilor Park | 20 | 11 | 8 | 1 | 29:27 | 34 |
| 6 |  Box Hill United | 20 | 9 | 6 | 5 | 32:25 | 32 |
| 7 |  Whittlesea United | 21 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 32:24 | 28 |
| 8 |  Springvale White Eagles | 21 | 7 | 9 | 5 | 25:37 | 26 |
| 9 | Nunawading City | 20 | 7 | 9 | 4 | 20:30 | 25 |
| 10 |  Eastern Lions | 20 | 6 | 8 | 6 | 31:27 | 24 |
| 11 |  Werribee City | 21 | 5 | 11 | 5 | 27:37 | 20 |
| 12 |  Kingston City | 20 | 6 | 12 | 2 | 21:43 | 20 |
| 13 |  Altona City | 21 | 3 | 11 | 7 | 18:31 | 16 |
| 14 |  Moreland City | 19 | 2 | 12 | 5 | 20:46 | 11 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.