Keilor Park vs Bayside Argonauts: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Keilor Parkvs
Bayside ArgonautsThe model puts Bayside Argonauts at 41%. The model sees this as a close contest. Confidence: low.
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Most likely scorelines
Recent form
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Keilor Park have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Bayside Argonauts have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Keilor Park have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings.
- Bayside Argonauts is priced at 2.19.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 10 | 6 | 3 | ||
| 1 | 10 | 13 | 8 | 4 | 1 | |
| 2 | 6 | 8 | 5 | 2 | ||
| 3 | 3 | 4 | 2 | |||
| 4 | 1 | |||||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Keilor Park at 36%. The model puts the draw at 24%. The model puts Bayside Argonauts at 41%. The model's most likely scoreline is 0-1.
The market frames this as a close contest. Keilor Park is priced at 2.57. The draw is priced at 3.74. Bayside Argonauts is priced at 2.19.
Keilor Park have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings.
Keilor Park have 1 wins in their last 5 matches. Bayside Argonauts have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 53% for both teams to score. The model gives 48% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Keilor Park or Bayside Argonauts?
Our model rates Bayside Argonauts as the most likely outcome at 41% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Keilor Park vs Bayside Argonauts?
A scoreline around 0-1 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 1 meetings: 1 Keilor Park wins, 0 draws, 0 Bayside Argonauts wins.
Odds movement
League table
Australia. Victoria Premier League 2| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Goulburn Valley Suns | 20 | 14 | 3 | 3 | 46:27 | 45 |
| 2 |  Malvern City | 20 | 14 | 5 | 1 | 47:23 | 43 |
| 3 |  Essendon Royals | 21 | 12 | 7 | 2 | 50:31 | 38 |
| 4 | Bayside Argonauts | 20 | 10 | 5 | 5 | 39:29 | 35 |
| 5 | Keilor Park | 20 | 11 | 8 | 1 | 29:27 | 34 |
| 6 |  Box Hill United | 20 | 9 | 6 | 5 | 32:25 | 32 |
| 7 |  Whittlesea United | 21 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 32:24 | 28 |
| 8 |  Springvale White Eagles | 21 | 7 | 9 | 5 | 25:37 | 26 |
| 9 |  Nunawading City | 20 | 7 | 9 | 4 | 20:30 | 25 |
| 10 |  Eastern Lions | 20 | 6 | 8 | 6 | 31:27 | 24 |
| 11 |  Werribee City | 21 | 5 | 11 | 5 | 27:37 | 20 |
| 12 |  Kingston City | 20 | 6 | 12 | 2 | 21:43 | 20 |
| 13 |  Altona City | 21 | 3 | 11 | 7 | 18:31 | 16 |
| 14 |  Moreland City | 19 | 2 | 12 | 5 | 20:46 | 11 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.