Eastern Lions vs Box Hill United: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Eastern Lionsvs
Box Hill UnitedThe model puts Box Hill United at 39%. The model sees this as a close contest. Confidence: low.
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Most likely scorelines
Recent form
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Eastern Lions have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Box Hill United have 0 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Box Hill United is priced at 2.31.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 9 | 6 | 2 | ||
| 1 | 10 | 13 | 8 | 3 | 1 | |
| 2 | 7 | 8 | 5 | 2 | ||
| 3 | 3 | 4 | 2 | |||
| 4 | 1 | 1 | ||||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Eastern Lions at 37%. The model puts the draw at 24%. The model puts Box Hill United at 39%. The model's most likely scoreline is 0-1.
The market frames this as a close contest. Eastern Lions is priced at 2.46. The draw is priced at 3.65. Box Hill United is priced at 2.31.
The sides have drawn 1 of their head-to-head meetings.
Eastern Lions have 2 wins in their last 5 matches. Box Hill United have 0 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 53% for both teams to score. The model gives 48% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Eastern Lions or Box Hill United?
Our model rates Box Hill United as the most likely outcome at 39% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Eastern Lions vs Box Hill United?
A scoreline around 0-1 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 1 meetings: 0 Eastern Lions wins, 1 draws, 0 Box Hill United wins.
Odds movement
League table
Australia. Victoria Premier League 2| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Goulburn Valley Suns | 20 | 14 | 3 | 3 | 46:27 | 45 |
| 2 |  Malvern City | 20 | 14 | 5 | 1 | 47:23 | 43 |
| 3 |  Essendon Royals | 21 | 12 | 7 | 2 | 50:31 | 38 |
| 4 |  Bayside Argonauts | 20 | 10 | 5 | 5 | 39:29 | 35 |
| 5 |  Keilor Park | 20 | 11 | 8 | 1 | 29:27 | 34 |
| 6 | Box Hill United | 20 | 9 | 6 | 5 | 32:25 | 32 |
| 7 |  Whittlesea United | 21 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 32:24 | 28 |
| 8 |  Springvale White Eagles | 21 | 7 | 9 | 5 | 25:37 | 26 |
| 9 |  Nunawading City | 20 | 7 | 9 | 4 | 20:30 | 25 |
| 10 | Eastern Lions | 20 | 6 | 8 | 6 | 31:27 | 24 |
| 11 |  Werribee City | 21 | 5 | 11 | 5 | 27:37 | 20 |
| 12 |  Kingston City | 20 | 6 | 12 | 2 | 21:43 | 20 |
| 13 |  Altona City | 21 | 3 | 11 | 7 | 18:31 | 16 |
| 14 |  Moreland City | 19 | 2 | 12 | 5 | 20:46 | 11 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.