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Canada. Premier League

Atletico Ottawa vs Pacific: Prediction, Odds & Analysis

Atletico Ottawa Atletico OttawavsPacific Pacific
Our predictionAtletico Ottawa to win
Model score: High · 80/100
Score hint: 1-0

The model puts Atletico Ottawa at 58%. The model leans toward Atletico Ottawa. Confidence: high.

Win probabilities

1 · Atletico OttawaDraw2 · Pacific
Full team comparison

Model vs market

Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.

BTTSNo2.22+14.1%
1X2Atletico Ottawa1.57+0.4%
1X2Pacific4.88-0.2%
1X2Draw3.85-0.2%
BTTSYes1.56-14.1%
Our model BookmakerPositive edge = model disagreement, not a value bet. Not betting advice.
Team strength rating
Atletico Ottawa
66
Pacific
41

Recent form

Atletico OttawaWLLDD
PacificDLWWL

Most likely scorelines

1-013.5%
2-012.8%
1-110.0%
2-19.5%
3-08.2%
0-07.1%

Expected goals

1.91Atletico Ottawa
xG
0.74Pacific
Over 2.5 goals49%
Both teams to score45%

Match DNA

AttackDefenseFormStrengthH2HVenue
Atletico Ottawa Pacific

Key points

Betting angles

MarketPickOddsAssessment
1X2Atletico Ottawa win1.57Fair

Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.

Scoreline probability matrix

H \ A012345
0752
113104
213104
3862
4431
511

Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.

Full analysis

The model puts Atletico Ottawa at 58%. The model puts the draw at 23%. The model puts Pacific at 18%. The model's most likely scoreline is 1-0.

The market leans toward Atletico Ottawa. Atletico Ottawa is priced at 1.57. The draw is priced at 3.85. Pacific is priced at 4.875.

The sides have drawn 1 of their head-to-head meetings.

Atletico Ottawa have 1 wins in their last 5 matches. Pacific have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.

The model gives 45% for both teams to score. The model gives 49% for over 2.5 goals.

This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.

Prediction Track RecordMethodology →Model card →

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite, Atletico Ottawa or Pacific?

Our model rates Atletico Ottawa as the most likely outcome at 58% probability.

What's a likely scoreline for Atletico Ottawa vs Pacific?

A scoreline around 1-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.

What's the head-to-head record?

In the last 1 meetings: 0 Atletico Ottawa wins, 1 draws, 0 Pacific wins.

See odds at bookmakers

League table

Canada. Premier League
#TeamGPWLTGPts
1Forge12101120:731
2Cavalry1382323:727
3Vancouver Langley1466221:1520
4Atletico Ottawa1355319:2318
5HFX Wanderers1547420:2416
6Supra du Quebec1246218:2314
7Inter Toronto1134414:2213
8Pacific1209313:273
Promotion - Canada. Premier League (Play-off: Round of 4)

Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.