Gornik Zabrze vs Fenerbahce: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Gornik Zabrzevs
FenerbahceThe model puts Fenerbahce at 55%. The model leans toward Fenerbahce. Confidence: high.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- +Recent form favours Gornik Zabrze.
Win probabilities
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Gornik Zabrze have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Fenerbahce have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Gornik Zabrze have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings.
- Fenerbahce is priced at 1.744.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 8 | 13 | 11 | 6 | 2 | |
| 1 | 7 | 12 | 10 | 5 | 2 | |
| 2 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 2 | ||
| 3 | 2 | 1 | ||||
| 4 | ||||||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Full analysis
The model puts Gornik Zabrze at 21%. The model puts the draw at 24%. The model puts Fenerbahce at 55%. The model's most likely scoreline is 0-1.
The market leans toward Fenerbahce. Gornik Zabrze is priced at 4.46. The draw is priced at 3.75. Fenerbahce is priced at 1.744.
Gornik Zabrze have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings.
Gornik Zabrze have 2 wins in their last 5 matches. Fenerbahce have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 48% for both teams to score. The model gives 47% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Gornik Zabrze or Fenerbahce?
Our model rates Fenerbahce as the most likely outcome at 55% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Gornik Zabrze vs Fenerbahce?
A scoreline around 0-1 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 1 meetings: 1 Gornik Zabrze wins, 0 draws, 0 Fenerbahce wins.
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.