Stenhousemuir vs Livingston: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
The model puts Livingston at 66%. The model leans toward Livingston. Confidence: high.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- +The head-to-head record favours Livingston (0-0-6).
Win probabilities
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Stenhousemuir have 4 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Livingston have 4 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Livingston is priced at 1.39.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 8 | 15 | 14 | 9 | 4 | 2 |
| 1 | 5 | 10 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 1 |
| 2 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 2 | ||
| 3 | ||||||
| 4 | ||||||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Full analysis
The model puts Stenhousemuir at 14%. The model puts the draw at 20%. The model puts Livingston at 66%. The model's most likely scoreline is 0-1.
The market leans toward Livingston. Stenhousemuir is priced at 6.75. The draw is priced at 4.3. Livingston is priced at 1.39.
Livingston have won 6 of the head-to-head meetings.
Stenhousemuir have 4 wins in their last 5 matches. Stenhousemuir are on 3 wins in a row. Livingston have 4 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 41% for both teams to score. The model gives 46% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Stenhousemuir or Livingston?
Our model rates Livingston as the most likely outcome at 66% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Stenhousemuir vs Livingston?
A scoreline around 0-1 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 6 meetings: 0 Stenhousemuir wins, 0 draws, 6 Livingston wins.
Detailed stats, lineups and the live match story will appear here once match data becomes available.
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.