St. Johnstone vs East Fife: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
The model puts St. Johnstone at 83%. The model leans toward St. Johnstone. Confidence: high.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- −Recent form favours St. Johnstone.
- +The head-to-head record favours St. Johnstone (6-0-0).
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- St. Johnstone have 4 wins in their last 5 matches.
- East Fife have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
- St. Johnstone have won 6 of the head-to-head meetings.
- St. Johnstone is priced at 1.058.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 2 | ||||
| 1 | 16 | 5 | ||||
| 2 | 19 | 6 | ||||
| 3 | 15 | 5 | ||||
| 4 | 9 | 3 | ||||
| 5 | 4 | 1 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts St. Johnstone at 83%. The model puts the draw at 9%. The model puts East Fife at 8%. The model's most likely scoreline is 2-0.
The market leans toward St. Johnstone. St. Johnstone is priced at 1.058. The draw is priced at 8.9. East Fife is priced at 18.5.
St. Johnstone have won 6 of the head-to-head meetings.
St. Johnstone have 4 wins in their last 5 matches. East Fife have 2 wins in their last 5 matches. East Fife are on 2 wins in a row.
The model gives 24% for both teams to score. The model gives 51% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, St. Johnstone or East Fife?
Our model rates St. Johnstone as the most likely outcome at 83% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for St. Johnstone vs East Fife?
A scoreline around 2-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 6 meetings: 6 St. Johnstone wins, 0 draws, 0 East Fife wins.
Detailed stats, lineups and the live match story will appear here once match data becomes available.
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.