Airdrieonians vs Ross County: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Airdrieoniansvs
Ross CountyThe model puts Ross County at 61%. The model leans toward Ross County. Confidence: medium.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- −Recent form favours Airdrieonians.
- −The head-to-head history is finely balanced.
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Airdrieonians have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Ross County have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Airdrieonians have won 2 of the head-to-head meetings.
- Ross County is priced at 1.42.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 8 | 14 | 12 | 7 | 3 | 1 |
| 1 | 6 | 11 | 10 | 6 | 2 | |
| 2 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 2 | ||
| 3 | 1 | |||||
| 4 | ||||||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Airdrieonians at 19%. The model puts the draw at 20%. The model puts Ross County at 61%. The model's most likely scoreline is 0-1.
The market leans toward Ross County. Airdrieonians is priced at 5.79. The draw is priced at 4.5. Ross County is priced at 1.42.
Airdrieonians have won 2 of the head-to-head meetings. Ross County have won 2 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 2 of their head-to-head meetings.
Airdrieonians have 2 wins in their last 5 matches. Ross County have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 45% for both teams to score. The model gives 47% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Airdrieonians or Ross County?
Our model rates Ross County as the most likely outcome at 61% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Airdrieonians vs Ross County?
A scoreline around 0-1 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 6 meetings: 2 Airdrieonians wins, 2 draws, 2 Ross County wins.
Odds movement
League table
Scotland. League Cup| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Aberdeen | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 8:2 | 9 |
| 2 |  Queen's Park | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6:3 | 6 |
| 3 |  Kelty Hearts | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4:5 | 5 |
| 4 |  Queen of the South | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5:5 | 4 |
| 5 |  Brora Rangers | 4 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 3:11 | 0 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.