Falkirk vs Stranraer: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Falkirkvs
StranraerThe model puts Falkirk at 87%. The model leans toward Falkirk. Confidence: high.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- +Recent form favours Falkirk.
- +The head-to-head record favours Falkirk (4-1-1).
Win probabilities
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Falkirk have 3 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Stranraer have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Falkirk have won 4 of the head-to-head meetings.
- Falkirk is priced at 1.047.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 1 | ||||
| 1 | 17 | 3 | ||||
| 2 | 21 | 4 | ||||
| 3 | 17 | 4 | ||||
| 4 | 11 | 2 | ||||
| 5 | 5 | 1 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Full analysis
The model puts Falkirk at 87%. The model puts the draw at 9%. The model puts Stranraer at 4%. The model's most likely scoreline is 2-0.
The market leans toward Falkirk. Falkirk is priced at 1.047. The draw is priced at 9.2. Stranraer is priced at 22.
Falkirk have won 4 of the head-to-head meetings. Stranraer have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 1 of their head-to-head meetings.
Falkirk have 3 wins in their last 5 matches. Stranraer have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 17% for both teams to score. The model gives 51% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Falkirk or Stranraer?
Our model rates Falkirk as the most likely outcome at 87% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Falkirk vs Stranraer?
A scoreline around 2-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 6 meetings: 4 Falkirk wins, 1 draws, 1 Stranraer wins.
Detailed stats, lineups and the live match story will appear here once match data becomes available.
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.