Montrose vs Spartans: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Montrosevs
SpartansThe model puts Montrose at 70%. The model leans toward Montrose. Confidence: high.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- +Recent form favours Montrose.
- +The head-to-head record favours Montrose (2-1-0).
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Montrose have 4 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Spartans have 0 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Montrose have won 2 of the head-to-head meetings.
- Montrose is priced at 1.343.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 4 | ||||
| 1 | 15 | 8 | 2 | |||
| 2 | 16 | 8 | 2 | |||
| 3 | 11 | 6 | 2 | |||
| 4 | 6 | 3 | ||||
| 5 | 3 | 1 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Montrose at 70%. The model puts the draw at 18%. The model puts Spartans at 12%. The model's most likely scoreline is 2-0.
The market leans toward Montrose. Montrose is priced at 1.343. The draw is priced at 4.75. Spartans is priced at 6.9.
Montrose have won 2 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 1 of their head-to-head meetings.
Montrose have 4 wins in their last 5 matches. Montrose are on 4 wins in a row. Spartans have 0 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 36% for both teams to score. The model gives 50% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Montrose or Spartans?
Our model rates Montrose as the most likely outcome at 70% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Montrose vs Spartans?
A scoreline around 2-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 3 meetings: 2 Montrose wins, 1 draws, 0 Spartans wins.
Detailed stats, lineups and the live match story will appear here once match data becomes available.
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.