Forfar Athletic vs Brechin City: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Forfar Athleticvs
Brechin CityThe model puts Forfar Athletic at 46%. The model leans toward Forfar Athletic. Confidence: medium.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- +Recent form favours Forfar Athletic.
- −The head-to-head history is finely balanced.
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Most likely scorelines
Recent form
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Forfar Athletic have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Brechin City have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Forfar Athletic have won 2 of the head-to-head meetings.
- Forfar Athletic is priced at 2.09.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 7 | 4 | 1 | ||
| 1 | 12 | 12 | 6 | 2 | ||
| 2 | 9 | 9 | 5 | 2 | ||
| 3 | 5 | 5 | 3 | |||
| 4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | |||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Forfar Athletic at 46%. The model puts the draw at 26%. The model puts Brechin City at 29%. The model's most likely scoreline is 1-0.
The market leans toward Forfar Athletic. Forfar Athletic is priced at 2.09. The draw is priced at 3.5. Brechin City is priced at 2.985.
Forfar Athletic have won 2 of the head-to-head meetings. Brechin City have won 3 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 1 of their head-to-head meetings.
Forfar Athletic have 2 wins in their last 5 matches. Forfar Athletic are on 2 wins in a row. Brechin City have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 51% for both teams to score. The model gives 49% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Forfar Athletic or Brechin City?
Our model rates Forfar Athletic as the most likely outcome at 46% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Forfar Athletic vs Brechin City?
A scoreline around 1-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 6 meetings: 2 Forfar Athletic wins, 1 draws, 3 Brechin City wins.
Detailed stats, lineups and the live match story will appear here once match data becomes available.
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.