Greenock Morton vs Inverness: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Greenock Mortonvs
InvernessThe model puts Inverness at 62%. The model leans toward Inverness. Confidence: medium.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- −Recent form favours Greenock Morton.
- −The head-to-head record favours Greenock Morton (3-2-1).
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Most likely scorelines
Recent form
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Greenock Morton have 3 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Inverness have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Greenock Morton have won 3 of the head-to-head meetings.
- Inverness is priced at 1.37.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 8 | 14 | 13 | 8 | 3 | 1 |
| 1 | 6 | 11 | 9 | 6 | 3 | |
| 2 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 2 | ||
| 3 | ||||||
| 4 | ||||||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Greenock Morton at 17%. The model puts the draw at 20%. The model puts Inverness at 62%. The model's most likely scoreline is 0-1.
The market leans toward Inverness. Greenock Morton is priced at 7.49. The draw is priced at 4.25. Inverness is priced at 1.37.
Greenock Morton have won 3 of the head-to-head meetings. Inverness have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 2 of their head-to-head meetings.
Greenock Morton have 3 wins in their last 5 matches. Inverness have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 44% for both teams to score. The model gives 47% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Greenock Morton or Inverness?
Our model rates Inverness as the most likely outcome at 62% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Greenock Morton vs Inverness?
A scoreline around 0-1 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 6 meetings: 3 Greenock Morton wins, 2 draws, 1 Inverness wins.
Detailed stats, lineups and the live match story will appear here once match data becomes available.
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.