Aberdeen vs Kelty Hearts: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Aberdeenvs
Kelty HeartsThe model puts Aberdeen at 88%. The model leans toward Aberdeen. Confidence: high.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- +Recent form favours Aberdeen.
Win probabilities
Expected goals
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Match DNA
Key points
- Aberdeen have 3 wins in their last 3 matches.
- Kelty Hearts have 1 wins in their last 3 matches.
- Aberdeen is priced at 1.03.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 3 | |||||
| 1 | 10 | 2 | ||||
| 2 | 16 | 4 | ||||
| 3 | 18 | 4 | ||||
| 4 | 14 | 3 | ||||
| 5 | 9 | 2 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Full analysis
The model puts Aberdeen at 88%. The model puts the draw at 9%. The model puts Kelty Hearts at 3%. The model's most likely scoreline is 3-0.
The market leans toward Aberdeen. Aberdeen is priced at 1.03. The draw is priced at 9.9. Kelty Hearts is priced at 27.
Aberdeen have 3 wins in their last 3 matches. Aberdeen are on 3 wins in a row. Kelty Hearts have 1 wins in their last 3 matches.
The model gives 20% for both teams to score. The model gives 67% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Aberdeen or Kelty Hearts?
Our model rates Aberdeen as the most likely outcome at 88% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Aberdeen vs Kelty Hearts?
A scoreline around 3-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
Over or under 2.5 goals?
The indicators lean toward over 2.5 goals.
Detailed stats, lineups and the live match story will appear here once match data becomes available.
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.