Club Cienciano Cusco vs Club Atletico Lanus: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Club Cienciano Cuscovs
Club Atletico LanusThe model puts Club Cienciano Cusco at 40%. The model sees this as a close contest. Confidence: low.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- −Recent form favours Club Atletico Lanus.
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Most likely scorelines
Recent form
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Club Cienciano Cusco have 0 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Club Atletico Lanus have 4 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Club Cienciano Cusco have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings.
- Club Cienciano Cusco is priced at 2.29.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 8 | 5 | 2 | ||
| 1 | 11 | 12 | 7 | 3 | ||
| 2 | 8 | 9 | 5 | 2 | ||
| 3 | 4 | 4 | 3 | |||
| 4 | 1 | 2 | ||||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Club Cienciano Cusco at 40%. The model puts the draw at 28%. The model puts Club Atletico Lanus at 32%. The model's most likely scoreline is 1-0.
The market frames this as a close contest. Club Cienciano Cusco is priced at 2.29. The draw is priced at 3.24. Club Atletico Lanus is priced at 3.22.
Club Cienciano Cusco have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings.
Club Cienciano Cusco have 0 wins in their last 5 matches. Club Atletico Lanus have 4 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 52% for both teams to score. The model gives 48% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Club Cienciano Cusco or Club Atletico Lanus?
Our model rates Club Cienciano Cusco as the most likely outcome at 40% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Club Cienciano Cusco vs Club Atletico Lanus?
A scoreline around 1-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 1 meetings: 1 Club Cienciano Cusco wins, 0 draws, 0 Club Atletico Lanus wins.
Odds movement
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.