Red Bull Bragantino vs Sporting Cristal: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Red Bull Bragantinovs
Sporting CristalThe model puts Red Bull Bragantino at 71%. The model leans toward Red Bull Bragantino. Confidence: high.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- −Recent form favours Sporting Cristal.
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Red Bull Bragantino have 0 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Sporting Cristal have 0 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Red Bull Bragantino is priced at 1.29.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 4 | ||||
| 1 | 15 | 8 | 2 | |||
| 2 | 16 | 8 | 2 | |||
| 3 | 12 | 6 | 2 | |||
| 4 | 6 | 3 | ||||
| 5 | 3 | 1 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Red Bull Bragantino at 71%. The model puts the draw at 16%. The model puts Sporting Cristal at 13%. The model's most likely scoreline is 2-0.
The market leans toward Red Bull Bragantino. Red Bull Bragantino is priced at 1.29. The draw is priced at 5.7. Sporting Cristal is priced at 9.7.
The sides have drawn 1 of their head-to-head meetings.
Red Bull Bragantino have 0 wins in their last 5 matches. Sporting Cristal have 0 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 35% for both teams to score. The model gives 50% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Red Bull Bragantino or Sporting Cristal?
Our model rates Red Bull Bragantino as the most likely outcome at 71% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Red Bull Bragantino vs Sporting Cristal?
A scoreline around 2-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 1 meetings: 0 Red Bull Bragantino wins, 1 draws, 0 Sporting Cristal wins.
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.