Mirassol vs Clube do Remo: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
The model puts Mirassol at 57%. The model leans toward Mirassol. Confidence: high.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- +Mirassol creates more chances (16 vs 12 shots per game).
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Expected goals
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Match DNA
Key points
- Mirassol have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Clube do Remo have 0 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Mirassol have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings.
- Mirassol is priced at 1.72.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 11 | 7 | 2 | |||
| 1 | 17 | 11 | 3 | |||
| 2 | 14 | 9 | 3 | |||
| 3 | 7 | 4 | 1 | |||
| 4 | 3 | 2 | ||||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Mirassol at 57%. The model puts the draw at 24%. The model puts Clube do Remo at 19%. The model's most likely scoreline is 1-0.
The market leans toward Mirassol. Mirassol is priced at 1.72. The draw is priced at 3.74. Clube do Remo is priced at 4.88.
Mirassol have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 1 of their head-to-head meetings.
Mirassol have 2 wins in their last 5 matches. Clube do Remo have 0 wins in their last 5 matches.
Mirassol average 1 goals per game this season. Mirassol average 50% possession. Clube do Remo average 1 goals per game this season. Clube do Remo average 45% possession.
The model gives 37% for both teams to score. The model gives 37% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Mirassol or Clube do Remo?
Our model rates Mirassol as the most likely outcome at 57% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Mirassol vs Clube do Remo?
A scoreline around 1-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 2 meetings: 1 Mirassol wins, 1 draws, 0 Clube do Remo wins.
Over or under 2.5 goals?
The indicators lean toward under 2.5 goals.
Odds movement
League table
Brazil. Campeonato Brasileiro. Serie A| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 20 | 13 | 2 | 5 | 34:16 | 44 | |
| 2 | 19 | 11 | 3 | 5 | 36:17 | 38 | |
| 3 | 20 | 11 | 6 | 3 | 28:19 | 36 | |
| 4 | 20 | 9 | 5 | 6 | 30:25 | 33 | |
| 5 | 20 | 9 | 7 | 4 | 26:20 | 31 | |
| 6 | 20 | 8 | 5 | 7 | 29:25 | 31 | |
| 7 | 20 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 34:32 | 29 | |
| 8 | 20 | 8 | 8 | 4 | 25:25 | 28 | |
| 9 | 20 | 7 | 6 | 7 | 22:20 | 28 | |
| 10 | 20 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 25:27 | 27 | |
| 11 | 20 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 26:30 | 27 | |
| 12 | 20 | 7 | 8 | 5 | 25:23 | 26 | |
| 13 | 20 | 7 | 8 | 5 | 22:27 | 26 | |
| 14 | 20 | 5 | 8 | 7 | 29:33 | 22 | |
| 15 | 20 | 5 | 8 | 7 | 22:26 | 22 | |
| 16 | 20 | 5 | 9 | 6 | 22:26 | 21 | |
| 17 | 20 | 5 | 9 | 6 | 23:31 | 21 | |
| 18 | 20 | 5 | 9 | 6 | 23:32 | 21 | |
| 19 | 19 | 5 | 9 | 5 | 21:26 | 20 | |
| 20 | 20 | 1 | 12 | 7 | 19:41 | 10 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.