MLS All-Stars vs Liga MX All Stars: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
MLS All-Starsvs
Liga MX All StarsThe model puts MLS All-Stars at 47%. The model sees this as a close contest. Confidence: medium.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- +Recent form favours MLS All-Stars.
- +The head-to-head record favours MLS All-Stars (3-0-1).
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- MLS All-Stars have 3 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Liga MX All Stars have 1 wins in their last 4 matches.
- MLS All-Stars have won 3 of the head-to-head meetings.
- MLS All-Stars is priced at 2.14.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 8 | 4 | 1 | ||
| 1 | 11 | 12 | 6 | 2 | ||
| 2 | 9 | 9 | 5 | 2 | ||
| 3 | 5 | 5 | 3 | |||
| 4 | 2 | 2 | ||||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts MLS All-Stars at 47%. The model puts the draw at 19%. The model puts Liga MX All Stars at 34%. The model's most likely scoreline is 1-0.
The market frames this as a close contest. MLS All-Stars is priced at 2.14. The draw is priced at 4.65. Liga MX All Stars is priced at 2.602.
MLS All-Stars have won 3 of the head-to-head meetings. Liga MX All Stars have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings.
MLS All-Stars have 3 wins in their last 5 matches. Liga MX All Stars have 1 wins in their last 4 matches.
The model gives 52% for both teams to score. The model gives 49% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, MLS All-Stars or Liga MX All Stars?
Our model rates MLS All-Stars as the most likely outcome at 47% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for MLS All-Stars vs Liga MX All Stars?
A scoreline around 1-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 4 meetings: 3 MLS All-Stars wins, 0 draws, 1 Liga MX All Stars wins.
Odds movement
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.