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UEFA Europa League

Hradec Kralove vs Tromso: Prediction, Odds & Analysis

Hradec Kralove Hradec KralovevsTromso Tromso
Our predictionTromso to win
Model score: Low · 2/100
Score hint: 1-2

The model puts Tromso at 37%. The model sees this as a close contest. Confidence: low.

Why this prediction

+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.

Win probabilities

1 · Hradec KraloveDraw2 · Tromso
Full team comparison

Model vs market

Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.

BTTSYes1.79+5.4%
O/U 2.5Over 2.51.85+5.4%
1X2Hradec Kralove2.83+3.1%
1X2Draw3.25-1.3%
1X2Tromso2.37-1.8%
Our model BookmakerPositive edge = model disagreement, not a value bet. Not betting advice.

Expected goals

1.50Hradec Kralove
xG
1.40Tromso
Over 2.5 goals55%
Both teams to score58%

Most likely scorelines

1-111.6%
2-18.7%
1-08.3%
1-28.1%
0-17.7%
2-06.2%
Team strength rating
Hradec Kralove
57
Tromso
47

Recent form

Hradec KraloveWWLLD
TromsoLDDWL

Match DNA

AttackDefenseFormStrengthH2HVenue
Hradec Kralove Tromso

Key points

Betting angles

MarketPickOddsAssessment
1X2Tromso win2.37Fair (-1.8%)
Double chanceTromso or drawInfo
Total goalsUnder 2.51.85Fair

Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.

Scoreline probability matrix

H \ A012345
06853
1812841
26963
33431
4121
5

Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.

Full analysis

The model puts Hradec Kralove at 36%. The model puts the draw at 27%. The model puts Tromso at 37%. The model's most likely scoreline is 1-2.

The market frames this as a close contest. Hradec Kralove is priced at 2.831. The draw is priced at 3.25. Tromso is priced at 2.37.

Tromso have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings.

Hradec Kralove have 2 wins in their last 5 matches. Hradec Kralove are on 2 wins in a row. Tromso have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.

The model gives 58% for both teams to score. The model gives 55% for over 2.5 goals.

This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.

Prediction Track RecordMethodology →Model card →

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite, Hradec Kralove or Tromso?

Our model rates Tromso as the most likely outcome at 37% probability.

What's a likely scoreline for Hradec Kralove vs Tromso?

A scoreline around 1-2 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.

What's the head-to-head record?

In the last 1 meetings: 0 Hradec Kralove wins, 0 draws, 1 Tromso wins.

Over or under 2.5 goals?

The indicators lean toward under 2.5 goals.

See odds at bookmakers

Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.