Czech Republic vs England: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Czech Republicvs
EnglandThe model puts England at 63%. The model leans toward England. Confidence: high.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- +Recent form favours England.
- +The head-to-head record favours England (1-1-2).
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Recent form
Expected goals
Most likely scorelines
Match DNA
Key points
- Czech Republic have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
- England have 4 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Czech Republic have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings.
- England is priced at 1.51.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 6 | 12 | 13 | 9 | 5 | 2 |
| 1 | 4 | 9 | 10 | 7 | 4 | 2 |
| 2 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 1 | |
| 3 | ||||||
| 4 | ||||||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Czech Republic at 15%. The model puts the draw at 22%. The model puts England at 63%. The model's most likely scoreline is 0-2.
The market leans toward England. Czech Republic is priced at 5.89. The draw is priced at 4. England is priced at 1.51.
Czech Republic have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings. England have won 2 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 1 of their head-to-head meetings.
Czech Republic have 2 wins in their last 5 matches. England have 4 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 47% for both teams to score. The model gives 55% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Czech Republic or England?
Our model rates England as the most likely outcome at 63% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Czech Republic vs England?
A scoreline around 0-2 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 4 meetings: 1 Czech Republic wins, 1 draws, 2 England wins.
Over or under 2.5 goals?
The indicators lean toward over 2.5 goals.
League table
UEFA Nations League - League A| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  France | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 2 |  Turkey | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 3 |  Italy | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 4 |  Belgium | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.