Pafos vs Hajduk Split: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Pafosvs
Hajduk SplitThe model puts Pafos at 50%. The model leans toward Pafos. Confidence: medium.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- −Recent form favours Hajduk Split.
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Most likely scorelines
Recent form
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Pafos have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Hajduk Split have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Pafos have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings.
- Pafos is priced at 1.8.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 7 | 3 | |||
| 1 | 12 | 11 | 5 | 2 | ||
| 2 | 10 | 10 | 4 | 1 | ||
| 3 | 6 | 6 | 3 | |||
| 4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | |||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Pafos at 50%. The model puts the draw at 24%. The model puts Hajduk Split at 25%. The model's most likely scoreline is 1-0.
The market leans toward Pafos. Pafos is priced at 1.8. The draw is priced at 3.65. Hajduk Split is priced at 4.09.
Pafos have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings.
Pafos have 2 wins in their last 5 matches. Hajduk Split have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 49% for both teams to score. The model gives 49% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Pafos or Hajduk Split?
Our model rates Pafos as the most likely outcome at 50% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Pafos vs Hajduk Split?
A scoreline around 1-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 1 meetings: 1 Pafos wins, 0 draws, 0 Hajduk Split wins.
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.