Maccabi Tel Aviv vs Sheriff Tiraspol: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Maccabi Tel Avivvs
Sheriff TiraspolThe model puts Maccabi Tel Aviv at 64%. The model leans toward Maccabi Tel Aviv. Confidence: high.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- +Recent form favours Maccabi Tel Aviv.
Win probabilities
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Maccabi Tel Aviv have 3 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Sheriff Tiraspol have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Maccabi Tel Aviv is priced at 1.49.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 4 | 1 | |||
| 1 | 14 | 9 | 3 | |||
| 2 | 14 | 9 | 3 | |||
| 3 | 10 | 6 | 2 | |||
| 4 | 5 | 3 | ||||
| 5 | 2 | 1 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Full analysis
The model puts Maccabi Tel Aviv at 64%. The model puts the draw at 21%. The model puts Sheriff Tiraspol at 15%. The model's most likely scoreline is 2-0.
The market leans toward Maccabi Tel Aviv. Maccabi Tel Aviv is priced at 1.49. The draw is priced at 4.3. Sheriff Tiraspol is priced at 5.85.
Sheriff Tiraspol have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings.
Maccabi Tel Aviv have 3 wins in their last 5 matches. Maccabi Tel Aviv are on 3 wins in a row. Sheriff Tiraspol have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 41% for both teams to score. The model gives 50% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Maccabi Tel Aviv or Sheriff Tiraspol?
Our model rates Maccabi Tel Aviv as the most likely outcome at 64% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Maccabi Tel Aviv vs Sheriff Tiraspol?
A scoreline around 2-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 1 meetings: 0 Maccabi Tel Aviv wins, 0 draws, 1 Sheriff Tiraspol wins.
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.