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UEFA Champions League

Lincoln Red Imps vs Mjallby: Prediction, Odds & Analysis

Lincoln Red Imps Lincoln Red ImpsvsMjallby Mjallby
Our predictionMjallby to win
Model score: High · 92/100
Score hint: 0-1

The model puts Mjallby at 69%. The model leans toward Mjallby. Confidence: high.

Why this prediction

+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.

Win probabilities

1 · Lincoln Red ImpsDraw2 · Mjallby
Full team comparison
Team strength rating
Lincoln Red Imps
32
Mjallby
73

Recent form

Lincoln Red ImpsLDWDL
MjallbyWDLLL

Most likely scorelines

0-115.4%
0-214.8%
0-39.5%
1-19.2%
1-28.9%
0-08.0%

Expected goals

0.60Lincoln Red Imps
xG
1.93Mjallby
Over 2.5 goals46%
Both teams to score39%

Match DNA

AttackDefenseFormStrengthH2HVenue
Lincoln Red Imps Mjallby

Key points

Betting angles

MarketPickOddsAssessment
1X2Mjallby win1.38Fair

Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.

Scoreline probability matrix

H \ A012345
0815151052
1599631
21332
3
4
5

Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.

Model vs market

Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.

1X2Mjallby1.38+0.5%
1X2Lincoln Red Imps7.70+0.4%
1X2Draw4.77-0.8%
Our model BookmakerPositive edge = model disagreement, not a value bet. Not betting advice.

Full analysis

The model puts Lincoln Red Imps at 13%. The model puts the draw at 19%. The model puts Mjallby at 69%. The model's most likely scoreline is 0-1.

The market leans toward Mjallby. Lincoln Red Imps is priced at 7.7. The draw is priced at 4.77. Mjallby is priced at 1.38.

Lincoln Red Imps have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings.

Lincoln Red Imps have 1 wins in their last 5 matches. Mjallby have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.

The model gives 39% for both teams to score. The model gives 46% for over 2.5 goals.

This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.

Prediction Track RecordMethodology →Model card →

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite, Lincoln Red Imps or Mjallby?

Our model rates Mjallby as the most likely outcome at 69% probability.

What's a likely scoreline for Lincoln Red Imps vs Mjallby?

A scoreline around 0-1 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.

What's the head-to-head record?

In the last 1 meetings: 1 Lincoln Red Imps wins, 0 draws, 0 Mjallby wins.

See odds at bookmakers

Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.