Hapoel Be'er Sheva vs Vikingur Reykjavik: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Hapoel Be'er Shevavs
Vikingur ReykjavikThe model puts Hapoel Be'er Sheva at 54%. The model leans toward Hapoel Be'er Sheva. Confidence: medium.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- −Recent form favours Vikingur Reykjavik.
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Most likely scorelines
Recent form
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Hapoel Be'er Sheva have 0 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Vikingur Reykjavik have 3 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Hapoel Be'er Sheva have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings.
- Hapoel Be'er Sheva is priced at 1.688.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 6 | 3 | |||
| 1 | 13 | 11 | 5 | 1 | ||
| 2 | 11 | 10 | 4 | 1 | ||
| 3 | 7 | 6 | 2 | |||
| 4 | 3 | 3 | 1 | |||
| 5 | 1 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Hapoel Be'er Sheva at 54%. The model puts the draw at 23%. The model puts Vikingur Reykjavik at 23%. The model's most likely scoreline is 1-0.
The market leans toward Hapoel Be'er Sheva. Hapoel Be'er Sheva is priced at 1.688. The draw is priced at 3.81. Vikingur Reykjavik is priced at 4.78.
Hapoel Be'er Sheva have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings.
Hapoel Be'er Sheva have 0 wins in their last 5 matches. Vikingur Reykjavik have 3 wins in their last 5 matches. Vikingur Reykjavik are on 2 wins in a row.
The model gives 48% for both teams to score. The model gives 49% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Hapoel Be'er Sheva or Vikingur Reykjavik?
Our model rates Hapoel Be'er Sheva as the most likely outcome at 54% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Hapoel Be'er Sheva vs Vikingur Reykjavik?
A scoreline around 1-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 1 meetings: 1 Hapoel Be'er Sheva wins, 0 draws, 0 Vikingur Reykjavik wins.
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.