Crvena Zvezda vs Larne: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Crvena Zvezdavs
LarneThe model puts Crvena Zvezda at 88%. The model leans toward Crvena Zvezda. Confidence: high.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- +Recent form favours Crvena Zvezda.
Win probabilities
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Crvena Zvezda have 3 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Larne have 0 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Crvena Zvezda is priced at 1.077.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 1 | ||||
| 1 | 17 | 3 | ||||
| 2 | 21 | 4 | ||||
| 3 | 18 | 4 | ||||
| 4 | 11 | 2 | ||||
| 5 | 6 | 1 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Full analysis
The model puts Crvena Zvezda at 88%. The model puts the draw at 9%. The model puts Larne at 3%. The model's most likely scoreline is 2-0.
The market leans toward Crvena Zvezda. Crvena Zvezda is priced at 1.077. The draw is priced at 9.65. Larne is priced at 31.
Larne have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings.
Crvena Zvezda have 3 wins in their last 5 matches. Larne have 0 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 17% for both teams to score. The model gives 51% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Crvena Zvezda or Larne?
Our model rates Crvena Zvezda as the most likely outcome at 88% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Crvena Zvezda vs Larne?
A scoreline around 2-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 1 meetings: 0 Crvena Zvezda wins, 0 draws, 1 Larne wins.
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.