Celje vs Egnatia: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Celjevs
EgnatiaThe model puts Celje at 70%. The model leans toward Celje. Confidence: high.
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Celje have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Egnatia have 0 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Celje is priced at 1.34.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 3 | ||||
| 1 | 15 | 7 | 2 | |||
| 2 | 16 | 8 | 2 | |||
| 3 | 12 | 6 | 1 | |||
| 4 | 7 | 3 | ||||
| 5 | 3 | 1 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Celje at 70%. The model puts the draw at 19%. The model puts Egnatia at 10%. The model's most likely scoreline is 2-0.
The market leans toward Celje. Celje is priced at 1.34. The draw is priced at 4.785. Egnatia is priced at 9.15.
The sides have drawn 1 of their head-to-head meetings.
Celje have 1 wins in their last 5 matches. Egnatia have 0 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 34% for both teams to score. The model gives 50% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Celje or Egnatia?
Our model rates Celje as the most likely outcome at 70% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Celje vs Egnatia?
A scoreline around 2-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 1 meetings: 0 Celje wins, 1 draws, 0 Egnatia wins.
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.