Kairat vs AC Omonia: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Kairatvs
AC OmoniaThe model puts Kairat at 42%. The model sees this as a close contest. Confidence: low.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- −Recent form favours AC Omonia.
- +The head-to-head record favours Kairat (1-2-0).
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Most likely scorelines
Recent form
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Kairat have 0 wins in their last 5 matches.
- AC Omonia have 3 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Kairat have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings.
- Kairat is priced at 2.217.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 8 | 5 | 2 | ||
| 1 | 11 | 12 | 7 | 3 | ||
| 2 | 8 | 9 | 5 | 2 | ||
| 3 | 4 | 5 | 3 | |||
| 4 | 2 | 2 | ||||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Kairat at 42%. The model puts the draw at 27%. The model puts AC Omonia at 32%. The model's most likely scoreline is 1-0.
The market leans toward Kairat. Kairat is priced at 2.217. The draw is priced at 3.325. AC Omonia is priced at 3.205.
Kairat have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 2 of their head-to-head meetings.
Kairat have 0 wins in their last 5 matches. AC Omonia have 3 wins in their last 5 matches. AC Omonia are on 3 wins in a row.
The model gives 52% for both teams to score. The model gives 48% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Kairat or AC Omonia?
Our model rates Kairat as the most likely outcome at 42% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Kairat vs AC Omonia?
A scoreline around 1-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 3 meetings: 1 Kairat wins, 2 draws, 0 AC Omonia wins.
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.