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UEFA Champions League

Zalgiris Kaunas vs KI Klaksvik: Prediction, Odds & Analysis

Zalgiris Kaunas Zalgiris KaunasvsKI Klaksvik KI Klaksvik
Our predictionZalgiris Kaunas to win
Model score: High · 74/100
Score hint: 1-0

The model puts Zalgiris Kaunas at 56%. The model leans toward Zalgiris Kaunas. Confidence: high.

Why this prediction

+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.

Win probabilities

1 · Zalgiris KaunasDraw2 · KI Klaksvik
Full team comparison

Model vs market

Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.

BTTSNo1.85+4.3%
1X2Zalgiris Kaunas1.74+1.8%
1X2KI Klaksvik4.79-0.8%
1X2Draw3.56-1.0%
BTTSYes1.85-4.3%
Our model BookmakerPositive edge = model disagreement, not a value bet. Not betting advice.
Team strength rating
Zalgiris Kaunas
66
KI Klaksvik
39

Recent form

Zalgiris KaunasDWLDW
KI KlaksvikDLWLD

Most likely scorelines

1-013.2%
2-012.4%
1-110.3%
2-19.6%
3-07.7%
0-07.1%

Expected goals

1.87Zalgiris Kaunas
xG
0.78KI Klaksvik
Over 2.5 goals49%
Both teams to score46%

Match DNA

AttackDefenseFormStrengthH2HVenue
Zalgiris Kaunas KI Klaksvik

Key points

Betting angles

MarketPickOddsAssessment
1X2Zalgiris Kaunas win1.74Fair (+1.8%)

Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.

Scoreline probability matrix

H \ A012345
0762
1131041
212104
3862
4431
511

Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.

Full analysis

The model puts Zalgiris Kaunas at 56%. The model puts the draw at 25%. The model puts KI Klaksvik at 19%. The model's most likely scoreline is 1-0.

The market leans toward Zalgiris Kaunas. Zalgiris Kaunas is priced at 1.74. The draw is priced at 3.565. KI Klaksvik is priced at 4.785.

The sides have drawn 1 of their head-to-head meetings.

Zalgiris Kaunas have 2 wins in their last 5 matches. KI Klaksvik have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.

The model gives 46% for both teams to score. The model gives 49% for over 2.5 goals.

This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.

Prediction Track RecordMethodology →Model card →

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite, Zalgiris Kaunas or KI Klaksvik?

Our model rates Zalgiris Kaunas as the most likely outcome at 56% probability.

What's a likely scoreline for Zalgiris Kaunas vs KI Klaksvik?

A scoreline around 1-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.

What's the head-to-head record?

In the last 1 meetings: 0 Zalgiris Kaunas wins, 1 draws, 0 KI Klaksvik wins.

See odds at bookmakers

Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.